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Mark John and Diadie Ba
I will tread on no corpses to get to the presidential palace," Senegal's Abdoulaye Wade once declared from the opposition benches in a famous pledge to win power by democratic means.But 12 years after he gained the presidency of the West African nation through the ballot box at his fifth attempt, riots over the octogenarian leader's bid for re-election in an upcoming February 26 vote have already caused at least four deaths.
The bloodshed risks tarnishing both Wade's legacy as one of the continent's most prominent senior leaders and Senegal's enviable image as a stable African state that has not suffered either a damaging coup or civil war since its independence.
Rivals say his renewed candidacy flagrantly breaches rules limiting presidents to two terms and they have vowed to make the predominantly Muslim former French colony, which is a popular with foreign tourists, "ungovernable" unless he backs down.But the president, whose neoclassical palace overlooking the Atlantic Ocean is now protected by tear gas-equipped riot police, is determined to have a few more years' tenancy.
The bald-headed ruler, whose diminutive stature belies a super-sized political ego, does not see why street protests should force him out."His road to power was long, hard and often lonely," said political commentator Babacar Justin Ndiaye of Wade's 26 years of opposition which, in a twist of irony, included jail spells for inciting anti-government protests of the sort he now faces.
"That gave him an unshakeable belief in his own legitimacy. He thinks he can do no wrong," Ndiaye added of Wade, who openly mocks any comparison with the "Arab Spring" uprisings of 2011 that ousted incumbents in other Muslim states further north. This apparently unmoveable self-belief has fuelled a political career extraordinary even by the standards of a continent all too used to larger-than-life leaders.
While his birth date is disputed, Wade's official age of 85 makes him a peer of founding fathers of African independence such as Tanzania's Julius Nyerere or Guinea's Ahmed Sekou Toure. Along with Zimbabwe's Robert Mugabe, he is the only one of that generation in power today.
The controversy over his candidacy has transfixed Senegal and drowned out debate over the unemployment, poverty and desperation that are the lot of many of its 12 million people.
It has also earned Wade opprobrium abroad. The United States has urged him to go gracefully, while France has complained about the invalidation of the bids of rivals by the Constitutional Council, whose five judges Wade picked.
Admirers and critics call him "The Hare" - an animal which in Senegal symbolises cunning as the fox does in Europe. If Wade wins the election as he predicts, he would be at least 92 years old if he completes his seven-year mandate.
But the prize Wade covets is not so much another full term as the right to have a say in who comes next. The risk for him is that in trying to shape posterity, he ruins his own legacy.
While both father and son strenuously deny it, critics say Wade's last ambition is to see his 43-year-old son Karim Wade take over from him in a monarchy-style succession.
A merchant banker who is fluent in English but struggles in the local Wolof language, Wade Jr's political debut in 2009 municipal elections in Dakar ended in humiliation as rival Socialists gained control of the capital city.
While that silenced talk of Karim running for president this year, his father handed him a "superministry" portfolio whose duties range from re-launching the national airline to overhauling the decrepit power grid.
Abdoulaye Wade insists his son is a financier of genius. Critics see a transparent attempt to ease him into line for the presidency in the same way Gabon's late leader Omar Bongo positioned his son Ali to secure power in 2009.
For some, Wade's move last June to break ranks with other African leaders backing Libya's Muammar Gaddafi and declare support for Western-backed rebels during a visit to their Benghazi stronghold was a bid to win foreign blessing for the succession scheme.
Days later, he unveiled plans to limit the Senegalese election to a single round and create a "double-ticket" ballot shared with a vice-presidential running mate - a move many saw as a ruse to get his son into the presidency by the back door.
But if Wade thought his Libyan trip had curried favour with Paris and Washington, he was wrong. Neither capital offered any word of support as angry street protests promptly forced him to withdraw both the proposals.
"Going to Libya like that, at his age, was no fun," said analyst Ndiaye. "But he was snared by his own ambition - to put his son in power."
While that interpretation is widely shared and has credence among Dakar-based diplomats, it is rejected outright by Wade's inner circle and others who know him well.
Wade biographer Marcel Mendy sees his candidacy as a gambit to win time until his beloved Democratic Party of Senegal (PDS) has found a new-generation presidential hopeful after the exodus of a series of party heavyweights who rowed with the president."Wade knows better than anyone that the PDS would lose if he doesn't stand," said Mendy. "It is a candidacy by default."
The writers filed this analysis from Dakar
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