Displacement, conflict: Why 2025 may worry Eastern Africa

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Sudanese refugee women at makeshift shelters near the border between Sudan and Chad in Koufroun, Chad on May 11, 2023.

Photo credit: Reuters

Eastern Africa countries may look to 2025 with gloom, with predictive data showing there could be more violence and displacements. And the figures indicate it may not really matter whether your country is free, partially free or an autocracy.

According to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data (ACLED) Conflict Index, the entire Horn of Africa and its environs is a region of concern, with countries like Sudan now labelled as “extreme” cases of violence.