Why the US election matters to Tanzanians

Political experts and academics across the nation view the election as a chance to reflect on the growth of democratic practices, governance stability, and the role of media independence within their own political framework.

Speaking with The Citizen, a political analyst at the Open University of Tanzania, Dr Revocatus Kabobe, asserts that the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election will significantly influence Tanzania’s democratic environment and bilateral relations.

“From a democratic perspective, Tanzania can expect the US election to impact both direct relations and the broader democratic framework in the region,” he notes.

According to him, depending on the administration, Tanzania may see changes in US democracy promotion, governance support, and engagement in human rights and freedom of expression.

Dr Kabobe explains that US commitments can shape Tanzania’s political landscape: “Tanzanian leaders, activists and citizens will be watching for signals of renewed or adjusted US commitment to global democratic values, which can influence US engagement in our political and civil spheres.” He adds, “Specific programmes will likely be shaped by the winning administration’s approach.”

He emphasises the importance of economic relations, stating, “The US and Tanzania share economic interests through initiatives like AGOA, which provides preferential access to US markets for Tanzanian exports.”

He cautions that a more trade-focused administration may prioritise strengthening AGOA, but changes in US policy regarding its renewal could impact this partnership.

Regarding health aid, Dr Kabobe notes, “US administrations typically provide considerable support for health programs across Africa, including Tanzania.”

He stresses that the continuation or expansion of initiatives like PEPFAR will depend on the elected administration’s foreign aid priorities.

On infrastructure and clean energy investments, he suggests, “The US might support Tanzania’s energy sector by funding clean energy initiatives.” He highlights the potential benefits of increased investment in infrastructure that align with environmental goals, particularly if the new administration prioritises climate initiatives.

Security cooperation is another critical area, with Dr Kabobe stating, “Tanzania and other East African nations are significant partners in regional security.” He notes that the extent of US support for counter-terrorism and stability initiatives will depend on the administration’s focus on African regional security.

Dr Kabobe emphasises the importance of climate policies, saying, “A US administration that prioritises environmental issues might increase support for conservation projects in Tanzania.” He believes that US collaboration in addressing climate resilience will be vital for Tanzania’s ecosystems.

He asserts, “While Tanzania’s relationship with the US is likely to remain steady, specific outcomes will depend on the foreign policy directions of the winning administration. Tanzanian policymakers must closely monitor these developments to identify areas for strengthening bilateral cooperation.”

With similar sentiments, a political analyst and law lecturer at the University of Dar es Salaam, Dr Onesmo Kyauke, believes that the maturity of US democracy serves as a key model for Tanzania.

He emphasises that, unlike many African nations, the US electoral process allows complete freedom for all stakeholders involved—political parties, media outlets, and citizens.

This transparency and independence are qualities Dr Kyauke feels Tanzanians could adopt to strengthen their own democracy.

“We need to focus on competing through policy-driven campaigns rather than restricting those without power.

“By prioritising policy dissemination over the suppression of opposition, Tanzania could foster a more constructive political environment,” he explains.

He said in a country where competitive political platforms are often constrained, this approach would mean encouraging robust discussions on campaign issues.

Dr Kyauke also underscores that a free media can contribute effectively to democratic engagement by reporting without fear of reprisals.

“The US media operates freely, enabling comprehensive and accurate election coverage—a standard we should aspire to if we wish to build credibility in our democracy,” he adds.

For his part, a political scientist and lecturer at the University of Dodoma, Dr Paul Loisulie, highlights the stability of the US political landscape regardless of which party wins. He notes that while candidates may bring their unique policies, the foundational values of the nation remain intact.

“In the US, leaders may introduce new styles and initiatives but do not destabilise the country’s core principles. It’s a principle we should adopt,” says Dr Loisulie.

He continues: “For instance, should Vice President Kamala Harris win, many expect continuity in policies, given her current role in the administration. Conversely, if former President Donald Trump returns to office, his past leadership offers insights into potential future policies that could significantly impact Africa.”

Dr Loisulie suggests that the US model of stability, which combines the continuity of foundational values with the introduction of new ideas, could serve as a valuable example for Tanzania.

“This approach could help Tanzania strengthen its institutions while allowing for necessary innovation in governance,” he shares.

Commenting on the matter, Prof Ali Makame Ussi of the State University of Zanzibar points out that Tanzania can learn from the US approach to internal conflicts. He reveals although the US faces allegations of voter irregularities, partisanship, and even violence, it maintains a resilience that Tanzania could strive to emulate.

“The US remains stable despite political friction; their commitment to national interests supersedes party conflicts. This resilience is worth learning from,” Prof Ussi observes.

He contrasts this with Tanzania, where political tensions often lead to divisions, emphasising the importance of maintaining national unity amid partisan struggles.

“I think we really need to adopt a stance of resilience and unity at all times,” he notes. He also highlights the extensive efforts made by Americans to promote their policies using technology and various media platforms.

“We should learn how they leverage technology to increase public engagement, reinforcing their democracy,” he suggests.

Additionally, he notes that election reporting in the US occurs under conditions that allow the media to maintain neutrality, thereby preserving national dignity on the international stage.

However, Tanzanian analysts caution against blindly adopting US practices that may conflict with African cultural values.

Prof Ussi emphasises the importance of carefully adapting democratic values.

For example, US policies on social issues such as same-sex marriage may not align with Tanzanian cultural norms. He advises that the incoming US administration, whether led by Harris or Trump, should respect the cultural boundaries of African nations.

“The upcoming president of the US must appreciate the cultural dynamics that shape regions like Africa,” he remarks, suggesting that recognising these differences can foster more respectful international relations.

Ultimately, the US election offers Tanzanians valuable lessons in safeguarding democratic integrity, fostering independent media, and prioritising national interests above partisan loyalties.