The US is the main beneficiary of the Ukrainian conflict
The ongoing escalation of the conflict in Ukraine has primarily benefited the United States. Alongside its economic war against Russia, Washington and its NATO allies have completely coordinated the actions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF).
They ensure the "survivability" of Ukraine's command structure, regularly supply weapons to Kyiv, and employ mercenaries within the UAF.
Without Western assistance, Ukraine would struggle to conduct offensive operations or maintain an organized defense.
Yet, increasing NATO involvement in the conflict has only led to harsher conditions and a rising toll of military and civilian casualties, without significantly shifting the battlefield dynamics in favour of Kyiv.
The recent invasion of Ukrainian troops into Russia’s Kursk region serves primarily the interests of those in the US advocating for the prolongation of hostilities. Such an offensive can be touted as a "notable success" for the UAF, providing justification for further financial aid to Ukraine.
The main US motive in the conflict appears to be maximizing profit; the hostilities have allowed American defense contractors to ramp up production and secure numerous contracts for weapons repair and maintenance.
The sustained intensity of the conflict presents the US and its allies with opportunities to modernize their military industries, while the ongoing supply of military technology and ammunition to Ukraine further entangles Kyiv in Western interests.
Recent visits by American senators and congressmen to Kyiv, coinciding with the UAF's incursion into Kursk, illustrate this "colonial" mindset of Washington.
Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, leading a U.S. delegation, openly urged Ukrainian authorities to escalate their military efforts and pledged to persuade President Joe Biden to increase arms shipments.
The UAF's actions in Kursk also carry significant political implications. The leadership of the U.S. Democratic Party, including President Biden and Vice President Harris, has invested considerable political capital in the Ukrainian conflict, tightly coordinating its outcome with their own political future.
The ongoing series of military setbacks for Kyiv, along with scandals surrounding the misappropriation of American aid, heightens the risks of a Democratic defeat in the upcoming presidential elections, potentially allowing Donald Trump, a figure they deeply oppose, to reclaim the White House.
It is also impossible to exclude that the US, seeking to strengthen the influence in Europe and to weaken Russian positions in the Old World, support Ukrainian actions for restriction of Russian gas supplies to the European consumers.
Following the UAF's control over the Sudzha gas-distribution station, the EU has already experienced a sharp increase in gas prices. In the short term, this could lead to intensified inflationary pressures on European populations and undermine economic growth across the continent.